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Doctoral thesis . 2019
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Three Essays on the Design, Pricing, and Hedging of Insurance Contracts

Authors: Su, Xiaoshan;

Three Essays on the Design, Pricing, and Hedging of Insurance Contracts

Abstract

Cette thèse utilise des outils théoriques de la finance, de la théorie de la décision et de l'apprentissage automatique, pour améliorer la conception, la tarification et la couverture des contrats d'assurance. Le chapitre 3 de cette thèse développe des formules de tarification sous forme fermée pour une classe de contrats d'assurance vie participatifs, sur la base de la factorisation matricielle de Wiener-Hopf, et prend en compte plusieurs types de risque, tels que les risques de crédit, de marché et économiques. La méthode de tarification se révèle précise et efficace. Les stratégies de couverture dynamique et semi-statique sont introduites pour aider les compagnies d'assurance à réduire leur risque lié à l'émission de contrats participatifs. Le chapitre 4 traite de la conception optimale de contrats lorsque l'assuré possède une aversion au risque du troisième degré. Les résultats exhibent une forme de contrat optimale pour les agents averses au risque comme pour ceux appréciant le risque dans différents contextes. Le chapitre 5 développe un modèle stochastique amplificateur degradient fréquence/sévérité qui améliore les modèles de fréquence et de sévérité importants et populaires que sont les modèles GLM et GAM. Ce nouveau modèle hérite pleinement des avantages de l'algorithme de renforcement du gradient, dépassant ainsi les formes linéaires ou additives restrictives des modèles GLM et GAM, avec apprentissage de la structure du modèle à partir des données. En outre, ce modèle peut également rendre compte de la dépendance non linéaire existant entre fréquence et sévérité des sinistres.

This thesis makes use of some theoretical tools in finance, decision theory, machine learning, to improve the design, pricing and hedging of insurance contracts. Chapter 3 develops closed-form pricing formulas for participating life insurance contracts, based on matrix Wiener-Hopf factorization, where multiple risk sources, such as credit, market, and economic risks, are considered. The pricing method proves to be accurate and efficient. The dynamic and semi-static hedging strategies are introduced to assist insurance company to reduce risk exposure arising from the issue of participating contracts. Chapter 4 discusses the optimal contract design when the insured is third degree risk averse. The results showthat dual limited stop-loss, change-loss, dual change-loss, and stop-loss can be optimal contracts favord by both of risk averters and risk lovers in different settings. Chapter 5 develops a stochastic gradient boosting frequency-severity model, which improves the important and popular GLM and GAM frequency-severity models. This model fully inherits advantages ofgradient boosting algorithm, overcoming the restrictive linear or additive forms of the GLM and GAM frequency-severity models, through learning the model structure from data. Further, our model can also capture the flexible nonlinear dependence between claim frequency and severity

Country
France
Keywords

Frequency-severity model, Aversion au risque, Risk lovers, Double limite stop- loss, Factorisation matricielle de Wiener-Hopf, Matrix Wiener- Hopf factorization, Participating life insurance, Regime switching, Risque de troisième degré, Gradient boosting, Assurance vie participative, Third degree risk, Changement de régime, Risque de crédit, Attirance pour le risque, [SHS.GESTION] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration, Modèle fréquence/sévérité, Dual limited stop-loss, Credit risk

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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