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Nonparametric Beta Kernel Estimator for Long Memory Time Series

Authors: Bouezmarni, Taoufik; Van Bellegem, Sébastien;

Nonparametric Beta Kernel Estimator for Long Memory Time Series

Abstract

The paper introduces a new nonparametric estimator of the spectral density that is given in smoothing the periodogram by the probability density of Beta random variable (Beta kernel). The estimator is proved to be bounded for short memory data, and diverges at the origin for long memory data. The convergence in probability of the relative error and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that the estimator automaticaly adapts to the long- or the short-range dependency of the process. A cross-validation procedure is also studied in order to select the nuisance parameter of the estimator. Illustrations on historical as well as most recent returns and absolute returns of the S&P500 index show the reasonable performance of the estimation, and show that the data-driven estimator is a valuable tool for the detection of long-memory as well as hidden periodicities in stock returns.

Countries
Belgium, France
Keywords

long range dependence, 330, kernel smoothing, spectral density, long range dependence, nonparametric estimation, periodogram, kernel smoothing, Beta kernel, cross-validation, nonparametric estimation, periodogram, cross-validation, spectral density; long rage dependence; nonparametric estimation, spectral density, Beta kernel, B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:C14, jel: jel:C58

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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