Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Norwegian Open Resea...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

A numerical approach to ruin probability in finite time for fitted models with investment

Authors: Hunting, Martin;

A numerical approach to ruin probability in finite time for fitted models with investment

Abstract

In this paper we present a numerical method for solving a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) associated with ruin probability, when the surplus is continuously invested in stochastic assets. The method uses precalculated Gaussian quadrature rules for the numerical integration. Except for the numerical integration part, the method is based largely on the finite differences method used in Halluin et al. (2005) for a PIDE associated with a more general option pricing problem. In our numerical examples we use historical data for inflation and returns on U.S. Treasury bills, U.S. Treasury bonds and American stocks. The log-returns of the investments are adjusted for an assumed constant force of inflation. We consider four different strategies for continuous investment: (a) U.S. Treasury bills with a constant maturity of 3 months, (b) U.S. Treasury bonds with a constant maturity of 10 years, and (c) the Standard and Poor 500 index and (d) another index of American stocks. For each of these strategies a geometric Brownian motion process is fitted to the aforementioned historical data. The results suggest that the ruin probabilities obtained can vary substantially, depending on whether the models are fitted to data for the last decade or for a longer time period. We also discuss numerical solution of investment models with jumps.

Country
Norway
Related Organizations
Keywords

330, 510

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
Related to Research communities