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Preliminary assessment of the western and south-western Cape Carpenter resource using an age-structured production model

Authors: Geromont, Helena F; Butterworth, Doug S;

Preliminary assessment of the western and south-western Cape Carpenter resource using an age-structured production model

Abstract

An age-structured production model (ASPM) is used to assess the Carpenter resource off the south western coast of South Africa. The model is fitted to standardized CPUE and length frequency linefish data. Problems encountered when attempting to fit the model to these data are explored. Reasons may include conflicting data, or complexities in the resource dynamics that are not incorporated in the simple density-dependent ASPM dynamics. Plausible parameter estimates are only achieved when fixing or imposing penalty functions for key parameters. However, this leads to deterioration in the fit to the data with systematic trends in the residuals which render results suspect and management advice based on such assessments dubious. Indeed, a management procedure approach may be better suited to circumstances when a “best assessment” is problematic, as seems to be the case here.

Country
South Africa
Related Organizations
Keywords

MARAM, University of Cape Town

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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