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Estimating and managing uncertainties in order to detect terrestrial greenhouse gas removals

Authors: Rypdal, Kristin; Baritz, Rainer;

Estimating and managing uncertainties in order to detect terrestrial greenhouse gas removals

Abstract

Inventories of emissions and removals of greenhouse gases will be used under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and under the Kyoto protocol to demonstrate compliance with obligations. During the negotiation process of the Kyoto protocol it has been a concern that uptake of carbon in forest sinks can be difficult to verify. The reason for high uncertainties are high temporal and spatial variability, and lack of representative estimation parameters. Additional uncertainties will be a consequence of definitions made in the Kyoto protocol reporting. In the Nordic countries, the national forest inventories will be very useful to estimate changes in carbon stocks. The main uncertainty lies in the conversion from changes in tradable timber to changes in total carbon biomass. The uncertainties in the emissions of the non-CO2 greenhouse gases and emissions and removals of carbon from forest soils are particularly high. On the other hand, the removals reported under the Kyoto protocol will only be a fraction of the total uptake, and are not expected to constitute a high share of the total inventory. It is also expected that the Nordic countries will be able to implement a high tier methodology. As a consequence total uncertainties may not be extremely high.

Country
Norway
Keywords

330, usikkerhet, VDP::200, karbonopptak, skog/skogbruk

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citations
The total number of citations received by all articles of the researcher of interest.
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green