Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

Nonlinear models with strongly dependent processes and applications to forward premia and real exchange rates

Authors: Richard T. Baillie; George Kapetanios;

Nonlinear models with strongly dependent processes and applications to forward premia and real exchange rates

Abstract

This paper considers estimation and inference in some general non linear time series models which are embedded in a strongly dependent, long memory process. Some new results are provided on the properties of a time domain MLE for these models. The paper also includes a detailed simulation study which compares the time domain MLE with a two step estimator, where the Local Whittle estimator has been initially employed to filter out the long memory component. The time domain MLE is found to be generally superior to two step estimation. Further, the simulation study documents the difficulty of precisely estimating the parameter associated with the speed of transition. Finally, the fractionally integrated, nonlinear autoregressive-ESTAR model is found to be extremely useful in representing some financial time series such as the forward premium and real exchange rates.

Keywords

ddc:330, Non-linearity, ESTAR models, Strong dependence, Forward premium, Real exchange rates, C22, C12, F31, jel: jel:C12, jel: jel:F31, jel: jel:C22

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!