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To culture or not to culture : an assessment of the cultured meat potential impact on the European meat industry

Authors: Alexandre, António Maria Carneiro Prego Marques;

To culture or not to culture : an assessment of the cultured meat potential impact on the European meat industry

Abstract

Com as pessoas a tornarem-se cada vez mais conscientes sobre os impactos negativos que a indústria da carne tem ao nível do ambiente, do bem-estar animal e da saúde, várias alternativas à carne têm vindo a ser desenvolvidas e lançadas para o mercado. Uma delas é a carne artificial que é produzida em laboratório através de um processo que utiliza células provenientes de animais. Assim, o objetivo desta dissertação é analisar o impacto que a carne artificial poderá ter na indústria de carne e nos seus stakeholders, a nível europeu, bem como analisar a possível evolução do setor no futuro. O impacto vai aumentar gradualmente, motivado por um aumento dos níveis de consumo de carne artificial e diminuição da quota de mercado da carne convencional. Para que esta evolução ocorra, a perceção que os consumidores têm acerca dos impactos negativos que a indústria de carne tem precisa de aumentar assim como têm de se registar melhorias no processo de produção de carne artificial, de forma a que o seu custo diminua. Para perceber como a indústria poderá evoluir, foram desenvolvidos cenários distintos com probabilidades especificas de se realizarem, e que foram baseados em informação obtida nas entrevistas com especialistas e em pesquisas secundárias. Apesar de não ser possível prever o futuro, concluiu-se que a carne convencional não vai ser substituída por carne artificial, no entanto, vai perder uma parte relevante da sua quota de mercado para a disruptor aqui em estudo.

With people becoming more aware about the negative impacts that the meat industry has on the environment, animal welfare and consumers’ health, different alternatives to meat are being developed and launched to the market. One of them is cultured meat which is meat that is produced in a laboratory with a process that uses cells taken from live animals as input. Hence, the objective of this dissertation is to analyze the impact that cultured meat might have in the European meat industry and its’ stakeholders as well as how the industry will evolve and look like in the future. The impact will steadily increase over time as consumption levels also rise and market share from conventional meat decreases. For this evolution to occur, consumers’ perception about the negative impacts caused by the meat industry need to increase and technological improvements must reduce the production costs. To understand how the industry might evolve, distinct scenarios with specific likelihoods of happening were developed based on insights collected from expert interviews and information from secondary research. Even though it is not possible to precisely predict the future of the meat industry in Europe, it was concluded that conventional meat won’t be replaced by culture meat, still, it will lose a relevant share of the market to the disruptor here studied.

Country
Portugal
Related Organizations
Keywords

Meat, Meat alternatives, Futuro, Indústria, Carne, Europe, Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão, Disrupção, Carne artificial, Cultured meat, Industry, Disruption, Alternativas à carne, Europa, Future

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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