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The effect of macroeconomic variables on government bond yields: an analysis for the European government bond market

Authors: Veh, Lorenz;

The effect of macroeconomic variables on government bond yields: an analysis for the European government bond market

Abstract

This work project examines the effect of certain macroeconomic variables on the yield of government bonds. By using time series data on the weighted average of government bond yields for the 27 member states of the European Union, this research employs a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to uncover both short- and long-term relationships. Variables under considerations are inflation, money supply, the market interest -, the exchange - and the unemployment rate. An impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition analysis concludes the work to examine the significance and persistence of these effects over time.

Country
Portugal
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Keywords

Forecast error variance decomposition, Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão, Government bond yields, Impulse response functions, Vector error correction model, Macroeconomic variables

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
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