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Rising temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns under climate change scenarios are accelerating the depletion of soil moisture and increasing the risk of drought, disrupting the conditions that many plant species need to survive. This study aims to establish the bioclimatic characterisation, both qualitative and quantitative, of ten native Californian Pinales for the period 1980–2019, and to determine their habitat suitability by 2050. To achieve this, an exhaustive search of the Gbif database for records of ten conifer taxa was carried out. To conduct the bioclimatic characterisation of the studied taxa, we worked with the monthly values of average temperature and precipitation for the period 1980–2019 from 177 meteorological stations. Linear regressions was performed in order to compile the future evolution of California’s climate. Suitable areas and optimal areas were defined at the present time (1980–2019) and its future projection (2050). We applied Boolean logic and, in this investigation, the Conditional Logic Operator (CON) was used to determine the possible species presence (one) or absence (zero) for each of the 15 variables analysed. In general, most of the conifers studied here will experience a reduction in their habitat range in California by the year 2050 due to climate change, as well as the displacement of species towards optimal areas. Furthermore, the results have highlighted the applicability of bioclimatology to future conditions under climate change. This will aid conservation managers in implementing strategic measures to ameliorate the detrimental impacts of climate change, thereby ensuring the ecological integrity and sustainability of the affected conifer species.
habitat suitability, Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, California conifers, Bioclimatology, Botánica, Botany, Species range, bioclimatology; climate change; California conifers; habitat suitability; species range shift, species range shift, Shift, 2502.03 Bioclimatología, Article, 2505.01-1 Biogeografía Botánica, climate change, QK1-989, Habitat suitability, Climate change, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13, bioclimatology, Species range shift
habitat suitability, Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, California conifers, Bioclimatology, Botánica, Botany, Species range, bioclimatology; climate change; California conifers; habitat suitability; species range shift, species range shift, Shift, 2502.03 Bioclimatología, Article, 2505.01-1 Biogeografía Botánica, climate change, QK1-989, Habitat suitability, Climate change, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13, bioclimatology, Species range shift
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 7 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
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