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Regime shifts in ecological and socio-ecological systems

Authors: Sigdel, Ram;

Regime shifts in ecological and socio-ecological systems

Abstract

Alternative stable states are common in nature, as are regime shifts that take a system from one stable state to an alternative contrasting one. Regime shifts have been explored in social models, ecological models, and coupled socio-ecological models. These models show that regime shifts may be driven either by human factors (such as social norms) or natural factors (such as fire in forest-grassland systems). Our objective is to identify the conditions that give rise to regime shifts in a selection of ecological and socio-ecological models, and to determine which conditions foster regime shifts to sustainable outcomes. For this purpose, we have considered ordinary differential equation models and used both qualitative and quantitative analysis. We conclude that regime shifts are common across ecological and socio-ecological systems and are caused by different drivers, but across all three model systems (two socio-ecological and one ecological), we find that increasing resource growth rates and/or decreasing harvesting rates best generate sustainable outcomes that are far away from tipping points and oscillations. We also find that social norms and threshold-based recruitment functions tend to generate alternative stable states in social and ecological subsystems alike.

Country
Canada
Related Organizations
Keywords

socio-ecological systems, regime shifts, ecological systems, differential equation models

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green