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Industrial Engineering & Management Systems
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Fuzzy Regression Analysis using Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers

Authors: Ismagilov I.I.; Alsaied G.;

Fuzzy Regression Analysis using Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers

Abstract

© 2020 KIIE As a widely used method, regression analysis plays an increasingly important role in creating statistical models and making forecasts in the field of economics and finance. The use of traditional regression for modeling socio-economic processes is not sufficiently substantiated in some situations. Currently, a new direction is being actively developed, associated with fuzzy regression analysis and its application as an alternative to classical methods for modeling economic phenomena. Fuzzy regression methods are based on the theory of fuzzy sets. A number of methods and their modifications are proposed for constructing fuzzy regression models, but most of them use triangular fuzzy symmetric numbers. In this paper, we propose a new method for constructing linear fuzzy regression using trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. The method is based on dividing the sample using a regression model which is estimated by using the ordinary least squares. Two fuzzy regressions using triangular numbers are estimated from the formed samples, on the basis of which a fuzzy model with trapezoidal fuzzy numbers is constructed. Basing on the proposed method, a linear fuzzy model of the gross regional product as an indicator of the economic development of the Republic of Tatarstan of Russia is constructed depending on a number of factors. A comparative assessment of the quality of fuzzy regression models using triangular and trapezoidal numbers was performed.

Country
Russian Federation
Related Organizations
Keywords

Regression Model, Gross Regional Product, Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers, Triangular Fuzzy Numbers, 330, Fuzzy Linear Regression, Ordinary Least Squares, Regression Modeling, 650

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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