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Journal of Economics Public Finance Business
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Journal of Economics Public Finance Business
Article
License: CC BY NC
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KURU SOĞAN ÜRETİMİ VE FİYAT İLİŞKİSİNİN ARDL SINIR TESTİ VE ALMON MODELİ İLE TESPİT EDİLMESİ: ÖRÜMCEK AĞI TEOREMİ

Authors: Feride Gülsüm GÜMÜŞSOY;

KURU SOĞAN ÜRETİMİ VE FİYAT İLİŞKİSİNİN ARDL SINIR TESTİ VE ALMON MODELİ İLE TESPİT EDİLMESİ: ÖRÜMCEK AĞI TEOREMİ

Abstract

Bu çalışmada Türkiye için 1980-2017 yılları arası yıllık veriler kullanarak kuru soğanın örümcek ağı kuramına uygunluğu araştırılmıştır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı uygulanarak kuru soğan üretimi ile fiyatı arasında uzun dönemli ilişki saptanmıştır. Uzun dönemli ilişkinin saptanmasının ardından kısa ve uzun dönemli katsayılar elde edilmiştir. Ayrıca kuru soğan fiyatındaki dalgalanmaların piyasa denge düzeyine yaklaşma eğilimi içerisinde olduğu tespit edilmiştir. ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı doğrultusunda uygun bulunan 3 gecikme uzunluğu için de Almon modeli uygulanarak her bir gecikme döneminde fiyatlardaki bir birimlik değişim karşısında üretimde ne kadar değişimin olabileceği saptanmıştır. Almon modeli ile elde edilen sonuçlara göre; fiyatlardaki %1’lik artışın t, t-1 ve t-2 döneminde üretimde pozitif artışa yol açmasına karşılık; t-3 dönemdeki fiyat artışı üretimi negatif yönde etkilemektedir.

Related Organizations
Keywords

ardl model, Social Sciences, almon modeli, HD28-70, H, Economics as a science, HG1-9999, Management. Industrial management, cobweb theorem., HB71-74, Finance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
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