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Jurnal Lebesgue Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika Matematika dan Statistika
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC SA
Data sources: Crossref
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PREDIKSI INFLASI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE MOVING AVERAGE, SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

Authors: Nugroho Arif Sudibyo; Ardymulya Iswardani; Arif Wicaksono Septyanto; Tyan Ganang Wicaksono;

PREDIKSI INFLASI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE MOVING AVERAGE, SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui model peramalan yang paling baik digunakan untuk meramalkan inflasi di Indonesia dengan data inflasi Januari 2015 sampai dengan Mei 2020. Penelitian ini menggunakan beberapa metode peramalan. Berdasarkan metode peramalan yang dilakukan didapatkan hasil peramalan yang paling baik dilihat dari MAPE, MAD dan MSD adalah single exponential smoothing. Selanjutnya, hasil peramalan menunjukkan bahwa tingkat inflasi di Indonesia pada Agustus 2020 sebesar 1,41746%.

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Keywords

prediksi, inflasi, indonesia, QA1-939, Mathematics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
gold