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zbMATH Open
Article . 2024
Data sources: zbMATH Open
Econometrica
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2020
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
Data sources: Datacite
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Adaptive, Rate‐Optimal Hypothesis Testing in Nonparametric IV Models

Adaptive, rate-optimal hypothesis testing in nonparametric IV models
Authors: Breunig, Christoph; Chen, Xiaohong;

Adaptive, Rate‐Optimal Hypothesis Testing in Nonparametric IV Models

Abstract

We propose a new adaptive hypothesis test for inequality (e.g., monotonicity, convexity) and equality (e.g., parametric, semiparametric) restrictions on a structural function in a nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) model. Our test statistic is based on a modified leave‐one‐out sample analog of a quadratic distance between the restricted and unrestricted sieve two‐stage least squares estimators. We provide computationally simple, data‐driven choices of sieve tuning parameters and Bonferroni adjusted chi‐squared critical values. Our test adapts to the unknown smoothness of alternative functions in the presence of unknown degree of endogeneity and unknown strength of the instruments. It attains the adaptive minimax rate of testing in L 2. That is, the sum of the supremum of type I error over the composite null and the supremum of type II error over nonparametric alternative models cannot be minimized by any other tests for NPIV models of unknown regularities. Confidence sets in L 2 are obtained by inverting the adaptive test. Simulations confirm that, across different strength of instruments and sample sizes, our adaptive test controls size and its finite‐sample power greatly exceeds existing non‐adaptive tests for monotonicity and parametric restrictions in NPIV models. Empirical applications to test for shape restrictions of differentiated products demand and of Engel curves are presented.

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Keywords

random exponential scan, FOS: Computer and information sciences, minimax rate of testing, Game theory, economics, finance, and other social and behavioral sciences, Econometrics (econ.EM), sieve two-stage least squares, nonparametric alternatives, Machine Learning (stat.ML), sieve U-statistics, Hilbert projection onto closed convex sets, composite hypothesis, power, Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, Statistics - Machine Learning, shape restrictions, adaptive hypothesis testing, Statistics - Methodology, Economics - Econometrics

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    popularity
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green