
For $r \ge 2$, let $X$ be the number of $r$-armed stars $K_{1,r}$ in the binomial random graph $G_{n,p}$. We study the upper tail ${\mathbb P}(X \ge (1+\epsilon){\mathbb E} X)$, and establish exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent (for the special case of stars $K_{1,r}$ this solves a problem of Janson and Ruciński, and confirms a conjecture by DeMarco and Kahn). In contrast to the widely accepted standard for the upper tail problem, we do not restrict our attention to constant $\epsilon$, but also allow for $\epsilon \ge n^{-\alpha}$ deviations.
upper tail, 05C80, 60C05, 60F10, Combinatorial probability, binomial random graph, Probability (math.PR), Random graphs (graph-theoretic aspects), \(r\)-armed stars, large deviations, Large deviations, concentration inequalities, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Combinatorics, Combinatorics (math.CO), Subgraph counts, random graphs, Mathematics - Probability
upper tail, 05C80, 60C05, 60F10, Combinatorial probability, binomial random graph, Probability (math.PR), Random graphs (graph-theoretic aspects), \(r\)-armed stars, large deviations, Large deviations, concentration inequalities, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Combinatorics, Combinatorics (math.CO), Subgraph counts, random graphs, Mathematics - Probability
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