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GAZI UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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Bayesian Confidence Interval Estimation of Weibull Modulus Under Increasing Failure Rate

Authors: Meryem YALÇINKAYA; Burak BİRGÖREN;

Bayesian Confidence Interval Estimation of Weibull Modulus Under Increasing Failure Rate

Abstract

Estimating the confidence interval of the Weibull modulus is an important problem in the fracture strength modeling of ceramic and composite materials. It is particularly important in cases where the sample size is small due to high experimental costs. For this purpose, several classical methods, including the popular maximum likelihood method, and Bayesian methods have been developed in the literature. However, studies on Bayesian inference have remained very limited in the materials science literature. Recently a Bayesian Weibull model has been proposed for estimating confidence lower bounds for Weibull percentiles using the prior knowledge that the failure rates are increasing. This prior argument requires the Weibull modulus to be more than 1 due to wear-out failure. In this study, under the same prior information, two Bayesian Weibull models, one using the same prior argument and the other a relaxed version of it, have been developed for confidence interval estimation of the Weibull modulus. Their estimation performances have been compared against the maximum likelihood method with Monte Carlo simulations. The results show that the Bayesian Weibull models significantly outperform the maximum likelihood method for almost all Weibull modulus and sample size values.

Country
Turkey
Keywords

Rate, Engineering, Weibull modulus, Mühendislik, Weibull modulus; Bayesian; Interval estimation; Increasing failure; Rate, Increasing failure, Weibull modulus;Bayesian;Interval estimation;Increasing failure;Rate, Bayesian, Interval estimation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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