Fusarium circinatum causes pine pitch canker (PPC) disease and associated symptoms such as resinous lesions, mechanical weakness, and crown dieback that may lead to mortality in Pinus and Pseudotsuga spp. There are no ameliorative techniques available for the disease, and the genetic resistance among populations to support commercial plantation deployment has not been well characterized. In this study, we characterize the genetic control of PPC disease tolerance (and/or resistance) and predict the tolerance of families in existing breeding populations: open-pollinated (OP) half-sib and control-pollinated full-sib (FS) slash pine (Pinus elliottii var. elliottii Engelm.), OP loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.), and advanced-generation OP hybrid slash × P. caribaea (Pinus elliottii var. elliottii Engelm. × Pinus caribaea var. bahamensis, caribaea, and hondurensis) using F. circinatum isolates obtained from three locations in Georgia and FL, USA. We describe a new experimental design that improves the accuracy of breeding value predictions, provides more precise genetic parameter estimates, and facilitates comparisons within and among taxa as well as comparisons among isolates. We found strong evidence for genetic control of the ratio of stem damage by F. circinatum, especially in slash pine and slash × P. caribaea hybrids. Loblolly and slash × P. caribaea hybrids exhibited less damage than slash pine. We observed a spectrum of virulence among F. circinatum isolate sources, which were not equally virulent in different pine taxa.