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Taylor’s Law in Innovation Processes

Authors: Francesca Tria; Irene Crimaldi; Giacomo Aletti; Vito D. P. Servedio;

Taylor’s Law in Innovation Processes

Abstract

Taylor’s law quantifies the scaling properties of the fluctuations of the number of innovations occurring in open systems. Urn-based modeling schemes have already proven to be effective in modeling this complex behaviour. Here, we present analytical estimations of Taylor’s law exponents in such models, by leveraging on their representation in terms of triangular urn models. We also highlight the correspondence of these models with Poisson–Dirichlet processes and demonstrate how a non-trivial Taylor’s law exponent is a kind of universal feature in systems related to human activities. We base this result on the analysis of four collections of data generated by human activity: (i) written language (from a Gutenberg corpus); (ii) an online music website (Last.fm); (iii) Twitter hashtags; (iv) an online collaborative tagging system (Del.icio.us). While Taylor’s law observed in the last two datasets agrees with the plain model predictions, we need to introduce a generalization to fully characterize the behaviour of the first two datasets, where temporal correlations are possibly more relevant. We suggest that Taylor’s law is a fundamental complement to Zipf’s and Heaps’ laws in unveiling the complex dynamical processes underlying the evolution of systems featuring innovation.

Country
Italy
Keywords

Physics - Physics and Society, innovation dynamics, Science, Physics, QC1-999, adjacent possible, Q, FOS: Physical sciences, Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph), Taylor’s law, Astrophysics, Article, QB460-466, Adjacent possible; Innovation dynamics; Poisson-Dirichlet process; Pólya's urn; Taylor's law; Triangular urn schemes, Poisson–Dirichlet process, Pólya’s urn, triangular urn schemes

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    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    32
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
32
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold