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Bernoulli
Article
Data sources: UnpayWall
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Project Euclid
Other literature type . 2018
Data sources: Project Euclid
Bernoulli
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Testing for instability in covariance structures

Authors: Kao C; Trapani L; Urga G;

Testing for instability in covariance structures

Abstract

We propose a test for the stability over time of the covariance matrix of multivariate time series. The analysis is extended to the eigensystem to ascertain changes due to instability in the eigenvalues and/or eigenvectors. Using strong Invariance Principles and Law of Large Numbers, we normalise the CUSUM-type statistics to calculate their supremum over the whole sample. The power properties of the test versus alternative hypotheses, including also the case of breaks close to the beginning/end of sample are investigated theoretically and via simulation. We extend our theory to test for the stability of the covariance matrix of a multivariate regression model. The testing procedures are illustrated by studying the stability of the principal components of the term structure of 18 US interest rates.

Countries
United Kingdom, Italy, United States
Keywords

covariance matrix, CUSUM statistic, Economics, eigensystem, Eigensystem, changepoint, CUSUM Statistic, Covariance Matrix, Changepoint, Term Structure of Interest Rates

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
17
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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bronze