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Bernoulli
Article
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Other literature type . 2017
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Bernoulli
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2015
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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Information criteria for multivariate CARMA processes

Authors: Fasen, Vicky; Kimmig, Sebastian;

Information criteria for multivariate CARMA processes

Abstract

Multivariate continuous-time ARMA(p,q) (MCARMA(p,q)) processes are the continuous-time analog of the well-known vector ARMA(p,q) processes. They have attracted interest over the last years. Methods to estimate the parameters of an MCARMA process require an identifiable parametrization such as the Echelon form with a fixed Kronecker index, which is in the one-dimensional case the degree p of the autoregressive polynomial. Thus, the Kronecker index has to be known in advance before the parameter estimation is done. When this is not the case information criteria can be used to estimate the Kronecker index and the degrees (p,q), respectively. In this paper we investigate information criteria for MCARMA processes based on quasi maximum likelihood estimation. Therefore, we first derive the asymptotic properties of quasi maximum likelihood estimators for MCARMA processes in a misspecified parameter space. Then, we present necessary and sufficient conditions for information criteria to be strongly and weakly consistent, respectively. In particular, we study the well-known Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) as special cases.

32 pages

Keywords

CARMA process, consistency, Probability (math.PR), Kronecker index, AIC, BIC, FOS: Mathematics, information criteria, law of iterated logarithm, Mathematics - Probability, quasi maximum likelihood estimation, 62B10, 62F12, 62M86 (Primary), 62F10, 62M10 (Secondary)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid