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Zero: Jurnal Sains, Matematika, dan Terapan
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: Crossref
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Implementation of Triple Exponential Smoothing Method In The Number Of Divorce Rate In North Sumatra

Authors: Derwanto, Rio; Department of Mathematics, Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim, Riau;

Implementation of Triple Exponential Smoothing Method In The Number Of Divorce Rate In North Sumatra

Abstract

The number of divorce rates in North Sumatra from 2007 to 2020 has increased. The increase in the number of divorce rates in North Sumatra which has an impact on the mental condition of children is disturbed, so forecasting is carried out in order to reduce the number of future divorce rates in North Sumatra. The purpose of this study is to find out the results of the number of divorce rates in North Sumatra in 2021-2023 and to see which accuracy is more accurate between the Triple Exponential Smoothing Method. The comparison between Triple Exponential Smoothing Method which has more accurate forecasting, namely Triple Exponential Smoothing Method with parameter values and MAPE values <br /> of 10,21%, obtains the equation for forecasting <br /> the number of divorce rates in North Sumatra is . <br /> The results of the study, the number of divorce rates in North Sumatra increased in 2021 with 12.765 cases and decreased in 2022 and 2023 with 11.708 cases and 10.271 cases respectively.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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