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Revista de Ciência Elementar
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
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Revista de Ciência Elementar
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Modelo de probabilidade

Authors: Maria Eugénia Graça Martins;

Modelo de probabilidade

Abstract

As regras anteriores nao excluem a possibilidade de um acontecimento elementar ter probabilidade zero. No entanto, em espacos finitos uma probabilidade igual a zero e interpretada, na pratica, como uma impossibilidade, pelo que qualquer resultado do espaco de resultados, com probabilidade nula, pode ser eliminado do espaco de resultados (Feller (1968), pagina 22). Consideremos o fenomeno aleatorio que consiste em lancar uma moeda de um euro, equilibrada, e ver qual o resultado que sai na face virada para cima. Mas o que e uma moeda equilibrada? E aquela em que estamos a admitir, a partida, que existe igual possibilidade de sair face Euro ou face Nacional no proximo lancamento que facamos com ela – estamos a admitir o principio da simetria (ver probabilidade). Estamos, assim, a admitir, na nossa cabeca, um modelo matematico em que assumimos que em qualquer lancamento da moeda, a probabilidade de sair face Euro e igual a de sair face Nacional e igual a 1⁄2 (Graca Martins (2005), pagina 128):

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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