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Article
Data sources: zbMATH Open
Biometrics
Article . 1980 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
Biometrics
Article . 1980
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An Epidemic Chain Model

An epidemic chain model
Authors: Becker, Niels;

An Epidemic Chain Model

Abstract

An epidemic chain model is developed by assuming a beta distribution for the probability of being infected by contact with a given infective from the same household. This model includes, as a particular case, the epidemic chain model corresponding to the stochastic Kermack-McKendrick model and, as a limiting case, the Reed-Frost chain binomial model. The advantages of the more general model are illustrated with an application to household data for the common cold. Finally, it is shown how the coefficient of variation of the duration of the infectious period may be estimated without any direct observations on this duration.

Keywords

Family Characteristics, household disease data, stochastic Kermack-McKendrick model, infection potential, Common Cold, beta distribution, Models, Theoretical, Communicable Diseases, coefficient of variation of duration of infectious period, Disease Outbreaks, Population dynamics (general), epidemic chain model, Humans, Reed-Frost chain binomial model, common cold data, Probability

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    popularity
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
12
Average
Top 10%
Average
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