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Forecasting the Sunspot Cycle

Authors: M. J. Morris;

Forecasting the Sunspot Cycle

Abstract

SUMMARY The problem of forecasting the development of the well-known sunspot cycle of approximately 11 years from observations made early in the cycle is considered. Each cycle is described by a member of a family of curves with different parameters for each cycle. Forecasts are obtained using this model and these forecasts are combined with forecasts obtained from an autoregressive model. Forecasting the time of maximum sunspot activity and the maximum sunspot number is also discussed.

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Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
37
Top 10%
Top 1%
Average
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