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Econometrica
Article
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Part of book or chapter of book
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Econometrica
Article . 1989 . Peer-reviewed
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Subjective Probability and Expected Utility without Additivity

Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity
Authors: Schmeidler, David;

Subjective Probability and Expected Utility without Additivity

Abstract

Summary: An act maps states of nature to outcomes: deterministic outcomes as well as random outcomes are included. Two acts f and g are comonotonic, by definition, if it never happens that f(s)\(\succ f(t)\) and g(t)\(\succ g(s)\) for some states of nature s and t. An axiom of comonotonic independence is introduced here. It weakens the von Neumann-Morgenstern axiom of independence as follows: If \(f\succ g\) and if f, g, and h are comonotonic, then \(\alpha f+(1-\alpha)h\succ g+(1-\alpha)h.\) If a nondegenerate, continuous, and monotonic (state independent) weak order over acts satisfies comonotonic independence, then it induces a unique non-(necessarily-)additive probability and a von Neumann- Morgenstern utility. Furthermore, one can compute the expected utility of an act with respect to the nonadditive probability, using the Choquet integral. This extension of the expected utility theory covers situations, as the Ellsberg paradox, which are inconsistent with additive expected utility. The concept of uncertainty aversion and interpretation of comonotonic independence in the context of social welfare functions are included.

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Keywords

von Neumann-Morgenstern utility, random outcomes, expected utility, Ellsberg paradox, deterministic outcomes, uncertainty aversion, subjective probability, comonotonic independence, Utility theory

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2K
Top 0.1%
Top 0.01%
Top 1%
bronze