
Reliability models play an important role in the determination of the required generation reserves of a given electric power utility company and of its expected operating cost. Specifically, these models are used to compute the risk of system load loss and the capacity utilization ratios of different units comprising the system. Computation of these indexes usually requires the evaluation of the distribution function of the sum of a large number of discrete random variables with different distributions. Exact methods for computing these distributions prove computationally unfeasible for routine utility operations. This article compares the accuracy of several analytical approximations for computing the required performance indexes. These approximations are (a) the method of cumulants, (b) a distribution fitting procedure, and (c) a large deviation procedure due to Esscher. Application of these procedures to computing the indexes for several representative utility systems shows that Esscher's large deviati...
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 32 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
