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Vascular Health and Risk Management
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
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Vascular Health and Risk Management
Article
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Other literature type . 2014
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Vascular Health and Risk Management
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Dove Medical Press
https://dx.doi.org/10.71889/5f...
Other literature type . 2025
Data sources: Datacite
https://dx.doi.org/10.71889/5f...
Other literature type . 2025
Data sources: Datacite
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Adding multiple risk factors improves Framingham coronary heart disease risk scores

Authors: Root, Martin; Hu,Guizhou; Duncan,Ashlee;

Adding multiple risk factors improves Framingham coronary heart disease risk scores

Abstract

Purpose: Since the introduction of the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), numerous versions of coronary heart disease(CHD) prediction models have claimed improvement over the FRS. Tzoulaki et al challenged the validity of these claims by illustrating methodology defi - cies among the studies. However, the question remains: Is it possible to create a newCHD model that is better than FRS while overcoming the noted deficiencies? To address this, a new CHD prediction model was developed by integrating additional risk factors, using a novel modeling process. Methods: Using the National Health Nutritional Examination Survey III data set with CHD- specific mortality outcomes and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities data set with CHD incidence outcomes, two FRSs (FRSv1 from 1998 andFRSv2 from National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III), along with an additional risk score in which the high density lipoprotein (HDL) component of FRSv1 was ignored (FRSHDL), were compared with a newCHD model (NEW-CHD). This new model contains seven elements: the original Framingham equation, FRSv1, and sixadditional risk factors. Discrimination, calibration, and reclassification improvements all were assessed among models. Results: Discrimination was improved for NEW-CHD in both cohorts when compared with FRSv1 and FRSv2 (P,0.05)and was similar in magnitude to the improvement of FRSv1 over FRSHDL. NEW-CHD had a similar calibration to FRSv2 and was improved over FRSv1. Net reclassification for NEW-CHD was substantially improved over both FRSv1and FRSv2, for both cohorts, and was similar in magnitude to the improvement of FRSv1 over FRSHDL. Conclusion: While overcoming several methodology deficiencies reported by earlier authors, the NEW-CHD model improved CHDrisk assessment when compared with the FRSs, compa- rable to the improvement of adding HDL to the FRS

Keywords

Adult, Male, Coronary Disease, Comorbidity, Body Mass Index, Decision Support Techniques, Predictive Value of Tests, Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system, Humans, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Obesity, Exercise, Life Style, Original Research, Aged, Age Factors, Middle Aged, Nutrition Surveys, Prognosis, Lipids, Vascular Health and Risk Management, RC666-701, Female, Biomarkers

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold