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doi: 10.2147/clep.s146729
pmid: 29563837
pmc: PMC5846756
handle: 10668/12261 , 20.500.11824/803 , 10810/27788 , 10668/26769 , 20.500.12105/9798
doi: 10.2147/clep.s146729
pmid: 29563837
pmc: PMC5846756
handle: 10668/12261 , 20.500.11824/803 , 10810/27788 , 10668/26769 , 20.500.12105/9798
Colorectal cancer is one of the most frequently diagnosed malignancies and a common cause of cancer-related mortality. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical predictive model for 1-year mortality among patients with colon cancer who survive for at least 30 days after surgery.Patients diagnosed with colon cancer who had surgery for the first time and who survived 30 days after the surgery were selected prospectively. The outcome was mortality within 1 year. Random forest, genetic algorithms and classification and regression trees were combined in order to identify the variables and partition points that optimally classify patients by risk of mortality. The resulting decision tree was categorized into four risk categories. Split-sample and bootstrap validation were performed. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02488161.A total of 1945 patients were enrolled in the study. The variables identified as the main predictors of 1-year mortality were presence of residual tumor, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System risk score, pathologic tumor staging, Charlson Comorbidity Index, intraoperative complications, adjuvant chemotherapy and recurrence of tumor. The model was internally validated; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.896 in the derivation sample and 0.835 in the validation sample. Risk categorization leads to AUC values of 0.875 and 0.832 in the derivation and validation samples, respectively. Optimal cut-off point of estimated risk had a sensitivity of 0.889 and a specificity of 0.758.The decision tree was a simple, interpretable, valid and accurate prediction rule of 1-year mortality among colon cancer patients who survived for at least 30 days after surgery.
tree-based methods, morbidity, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216, surgery, stratification, decision tree, Clinical Epidemiology, Original Research, model, 1-year-mortality, colorectal-cancer, curative resection, colonic neoplasms, microarray data, prediction model, colon cancer, 1-year mortality, regression, clinical prediction rules, colorectal surgery, prognosis
tree-based methods, morbidity, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216, surgery, stratification, decision tree, Clinical Epidemiology, Original Research, model, 1-year-mortality, colorectal-cancer, curative resection, colonic neoplasms, microarray data, prediction model, colon cancer, 1-year mortality, regression, clinical prediction rules, colorectal surgery, prognosis
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 11 | |
popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |