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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2007
Data sources: EconStor
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Cointegration Analysis with Mixed-Frequency Data

Authors: Byeongchan Seong; Sung K. Ahn; Peter Zadrozny;

Cointegration Analysis with Mixed-Frequency Data

Abstract

We develop a method for directly modeling cointegrated multivariate time series that are observed in mixed frequencies. We regard lower-frequency data as regularly (or irregularly) missing and treat them with higher-frequency data by adopting a state-space model. This utilizes the structure of multivariate data as well as the available sample information more fully than the methods of transformation to a single frequency, and enables us to estimate parameters including cointegrating vectors and the missing observations of low-frequency data and to construct forecasts for future values. For the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters in the model, we use an expectation maximization algorithm based on the state-space representation of the error correction model. The statistical efficiency of the developed method is investigated through a Monte Carlo study. We apply the method to a mixed-frequency data set that consists of the quarterly real gross domestic product and the monthly consumer price index.

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Keywords

ddc:330, Zustandsraummodell, forecasting, error correction model, smoothing, maximum likelihood estimation, Lebenshaltungsindex, missing data, Kalman filter, expectation maximization algorithm, forecasting, error correction model, smoothing, maximum likelihood estimation, missing data, Kointegration, C13, Zeitreihenanalyse, Kalman filter, Prognoseverfahren, Fehlerkorrekturmodell, C32, C22, Theorie, USA, expectation maximization algorithm, Schätzung, Sozialprodukt

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Average
Average
bronze