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handle: 10400.5/2657 , 10400.5/2134 , 10419/153145
In this paper we study the determinants of sovereign debt credit ratings using rating notations from the three main international rating agencies, for the period 1995-2005. We employ panel estimation and random effects ordered probit approaches to assess the explanatory power of several macroeconomic and public governance variables. Our results point to a good performance of the estimated models, across agencies and across the time dimension, as well as a good overall prediction power. Relevant explanatory variables for a country's credit rating are: GDP per capita, GDP growth, government debt, government effectiveness indicators, external debt, external reserves, and default history.
Welt, rating agencies, panel data, sovereign debt, Random Effects Ordered Probit, Ratingagentur, F34, random effects ordered probit, Sovereign Debt, credit ratings, Credit Ratings, Rating Agencies, F30, ddc:330, G15, Panel Data, credit ratings; sovereign debt; rating agencies; panel data; random effects ordered probit., Öffentliche Anleihe, credit ratings, panel data, random effects ordered probit, rating agencies, sovereign debt, E44, H63, Bewertung, C25, C23, jel: jel:C23, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:H63, jel: jel:C25, jel: jel:F30, jel: jel:F34, jel: jel:G15
Welt, rating agencies, panel data, sovereign debt, Random Effects Ordered Probit, Ratingagentur, F34, random effects ordered probit, Sovereign Debt, credit ratings, Credit Ratings, Rating Agencies, F30, ddc:330, G15, Panel Data, credit ratings; sovereign debt; rating agencies; panel data; random effects ordered probit., Öffentliche Anleihe, credit ratings, panel data, random effects ordered probit, rating agencies, sovereign debt, E44, H63, Bewertung, C25, C23, jel: jel:C23, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:H63, jel: jel:C25, jel: jel:F30, jel: jel:F34, jel: jel:G15
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 67 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
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