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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
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Regime Switching GARCH Models

Authors: Luc, BAUWENS; Arie, PREMINGER; Jeroen, ROMBOUTS;

Regime Switching GARCH Models

Abstract

We develop univariate regime-switching GARCH (RS-GARCH) models wherein the conditional variance switches in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a time-varying probability, specified as a function of past information. We provide sufficient conditions for stationarity and existence of moments. Because of path dependence, maximum likelihood estimation is infeasible. By enlarging the parameter space to include the state variables, Bayesian estimation using a Gibbs sampling algorithm is feasible. We apply this model using the NASDAQ daily return series.

Country
Belgium
Keywords

Regime switching, GARCH, GARCH, regime switching, Bayesian inference., Bayesian inference, GARCH; regime switching; Bayesian inference, GARCH, regime-switching, Bayesian inference., jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:C11, jel: jel:C22

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
21
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze