
The paper deals with the situation when in a complete continuous-time financial market an agent starts with initial capital \(x\) less than the amount \(C(0)=E[C/S_0(T)]\) required for perfect hedging the liability (without risk) at terminal time \(t=T\). The authors present a solution to the problem of minimizing the expected discounted loss as a solution to the relevant stochastic control problem. Also the supremum of the minimal expected loss, i.e. \[ \rho(x;C)=\sup_{\nu\in D} \inf_{\pi(\cdot)\in A(x)} E_{\nu}\left({{C-X^{x,\pi}(T)}\over{S_0(T)}}\right)^+, \] is proposed as a measure of the risk associated with hedging a given liability \(C\) at time \(t=T\). Here \(A(x)\) is the class of admissible portfolio strategies, \(S_0\) is a price of the risk-free instrument in the market; \({\mathcal P}=\{P_{nu}\), \(\nu\in D\}\) is a suitable family of probability measures (``scenarios''), \([0,T]\) is the temporal horizon during which economic activity take place. In addition to this ``max-min'' approach a related measure of risk in the ``Bayesian'' framework is discussed. Examples are worked out under various ``capital requirement'' and possible interpretations are analysed. Certain open problems are pointed out.
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, dynamic measure of risk, Stochastic models in economics, Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.), Dynamic measures of risk, Bayesian risk, hedging, capital requirements, value-at-risk, capital requirements, Bayesian risk, Risk theory, insurance, value-at-risk, Optimal stochastic control, stochastic control, hedging, jel: jel:C73, jel: jel:G13, jel: jel:G11
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, dynamic measure of risk, Stochastic models in economics, Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.), Dynamic measures of risk, Bayesian risk, hedging, capital requirements, value-at-risk, capital requirements, Bayesian risk, Risk theory, insurance, value-at-risk, Optimal stochastic control, stochastic control, hedging, jel: jel:C73, jel: jel:G13, jel: jel:G11
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