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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2005 . Peer-reviewed
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On Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Operational Loss Distributions

Authors: Marco Bee;

On Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Operational Loss Distributions

Abstract

This paper develops a likelihood-based methodology to estimate loss distributions and compute Capital at Risk in risk management applications. In particular, we deal with the problem of estimating severity distributions with censored and truncated operational losses, for which numerical maximization of the likelihood function by means of standard optimization tools may be difficult. We show that, under the standard hypothesis of lognormal severity, maximum likelihood estimation can be performed by means of the EM algorithm. We derive the relevant equations of the algorithm and apply it to operational loss data. Finally, a simulation study shows that, In this setup, the EM algorithm has more desirable properties than both the BFGS algorithm and the Nelder-Mead simplex algorithm.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
9
Average
Top 10%
Average
bronze