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Economics Letters
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: Crossref
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6...
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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BAYESIAN UPDATING OF ATOMIC PROBABILITIES

Authors: José Manuel Gutiérrez;

BAYESIAN UPDATING OF ATOMIC PROBABILITIES

Abstract

The standard conditional probability formula is supposed to reflect the correct updating of probability assignments when new information is incorporated (Bayesian updating). We consider a context whith no preferences on outcomes. Starting from an atomic probability measure and assuming a “minimum requirement” relational assumption or other stronger assumptions, we characterize the family of probability measures where Bayesian updating is the only possibility. This family turns out to be formed by those probability measures in which the Laplace formula can be used to determine the probability of events.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid