Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Heliyonarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Heliyon
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
PubMed Central
Other literature type . 2022
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: PubMed Central
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Heliyon
Article . 2022
Data sources: DOAJ
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
versions View all 5 versions
addClaim

Carbon Price Prediction Based on Multi-Factor MEEMD-LSTM Model

Authors: Yang Min; Zhu Shuzhen; Li Wuwei;

Carbon Price Prediction Based on Multi-Factor MEEMD-LSTM Model

Abstract

China's national carbon market has already become the largest carbon market in the world. The prediction of carbon price is extremely important for policymakers and market participants. Therefore, the prediction of carbon price in China is of great significance. To achieve a better prediction effect, a multi-factor hybrid model combined with modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition (MEEMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network optimized by machine reasoning system on the basis of production rules is proposed in this paper. In addition to historical carbon price, other factors, such as energy, macroeconomy, environmental condition, temperature, exchange rate which affect carbon price fluctuation, are formed as multi-factor. The change characteristics of carbon price time series data and other associated factors are extracted in the carbon price prediction. The MEEMD is used to decompose data which is taken as potential input variables into LSTM neural network for prediction and the machine reasoning system based on production rules can automatically search and optimize the parameters of LSTM to further improve the prediction results. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method has better prediction effect, robustness and adaptability than the LSTM model without MEEMD decomposition, the single factor MEEMD-LSTM method and other benchmark models. Overall it seems that the proposed method is an advanced approach for predicting the non-stationary and non-linear carbon price time series.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Multi-factor, MEEMD, Social sciences (General), H1-99, Q1-390, Science (General), Carbon price prediction, LSTM, Production rule, Research Article

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    22
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
22
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold