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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Circular Economy and Default Risk

Authors: Zara, Claudio; Ramkumar, Shyaam;

Circular Economy and Default Risk

Abstract

By decoupling economic growth from the exploitation of virgin raw materials and environmental degradation, as well as by developing practices more resilient to the economic cycle, Circular Economy (CE) offers effective hedging of linear risks and shields from the risk of stranded values. We tested this hypothesis focusing on default risk of a sample of 222 European circular issuers focused on manufacturing, construction, energy, metal and oil and gas industries. The time period considered is 2013–2018. The main explanatory variable is the Circularity Score, a brand-new indicator based on material variables pertinent to CE. Default risk is measured on PD values, corresponding to external rating classes, provided by Bloomberg. We found that issuers with a higher level of circularity confirm de-risking hypothesis at both short and long terms. Moreover, the contribution offered by circularity on de-risking is more relevant in the long-term analysis, ranking as third in relation to fourth in the short-term model.

Country
Italy
Keywords

circular finance, HG1-9999, sustainable finance, de-risking effect, DEFAULT RISK, SUSTAINABLE FINANCE, CIRCULAR ECONOMY, Credit risk, Finance, circular metrics

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold