
arXiv: 2106.09267
handle: 10044/1/103629
AbstractWe formulate and solve a multi‐player stochastic differential game between financial agents who seek to cost‐efficiently liquidate their position in a risky asset in the presence of jointly aggregated transient price impact, along with taking into account a common general price predicting signal. The unique Nash‐equilibrium strategies reveal how each agent's liquidation policy adjusts the predictive trading signal to the aggregated transient price impact induced by all other agents. This unfolds a quantitative relation between trading signals and the order flow in crowded markets. We also formulate and solve the corresponding mean field game in the limit of infinitely many agents. We prove that the equilibrium trading speed and the value function of an agent in the finite N‐player game converges to the corresponding trading speed and value function in the mean field game at rate . In addition, we prove that the mean field optimal strategy provides an approximate Nash‐equilibrium for the finite‐player game.
Quantitative Finance - Trading and Market Microstructure, 330, Probability (math.PR), mean field games, Mean field games (aspects of game theory), optimal stochastic control, crowding, predictive signals, Trading and Market Microstructure (q-fin.TR), FOS: Economics and business, 49N80, 49N90, 93E20, 60H30, Stochastic games, stochastic differential games, optimal portfolio liquidation, Portfolio theory, FOS: Mathematics, Optimal stochastic control, price impact, Mathematics - Probability
Quantitative Finance - Trading and Market Microstructure, 330, Probability (math.PR), mean field games, Mean field games (aspects of game theory), optimal stochastic control, crowding, predictive signals, Trading and Market Microstructure (q-fin.TR), FOS: Economics and business, 49N80, 49N90, 93E20, 60H30, Stochastic games, stochastic differential games, optimal portfolio liquidation, Portfolio theory, FOS: Mathematics, Optimal stochastic control, price impact, Mathematics - Probability
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