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Digital Finance
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Digital Finance
Article
License: CC BY
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.18452/26...
Article . 2021
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
EconStor
Research . 2021
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CATE Meets ML - Conditional Average Treatment Effect and Machine Learning

Conditional average treatment effect and machine learning
Authors: Daniel Jacob;

CATE Meets ML - Conditional Average Treatment Effect and Machine Learning

Abstract

AbstractFor treatment effects—one of the core issues in modern econometric analysis—prediction and estimation are two sides of the same coin. As it turns out, machine learning methods are the tool for generalized prediction models. Combined with econometric theory, they allow us to estimate not only the average but a personalized treatment effect—the conditional average treatment effect (CATE). In this tutorial, we give an overview of novel methods, explain them in detail, and apply them via Quantlets in real data applications. We study the effect that microcredit availability has on the amount of money borrowed and if 401(k) pension plan eligibility has an impact on net financial assets, as two empirical examples. The presented toolbox of methods contains meta-learners, like the doubly-robust, R-, T- and X-learner, and methods that are specially designed to estimate the CATE like the causal BART and the generalized random forest. In both, the microcredit and 401(k) example, we find a positive treatment effect for all observations but conflicting evidence of treatment effect heterogeneity. An additional simulation study, where the true treatment effect is known, allows us to compare the different methods and to observe patterns and similarities.

Keywords

Machine Learning, Causal Inference, ddc:330, Machine learning, Tutorial, CATE, 332 Finanzwirtschaft, C00, Causal inference

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
43
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
hybrid