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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Games and Economic B...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Games and Economic Behavior
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Bayesian Inference for Quantal Response Equilibrium in Normal-Form Games

Authors: James R. Bland;

Bayesian Inference for Quantal Response Equilibrium in Normal-Form Games

Abstract

This paper develops a framework for estimating Quantal Response Equilibrium models from experimental data using Bayesian techniques. Bayesian techniques offer some advantages over the more commonly-used maximum likelihood approach: (i) the accuracy of the posterior simulation is limited by (increasingly plentiful) computational resources, both in hardware and software, rather than the validity of an asymptotic assumption that may not be reasonable with typical experimental sample sizes; (ii) Bayesian hierarchical models are a useful way to organize heterogeneity in one's data; and (iii) Bayesian inference allows us to test whether Quantal Response Equilibrium better organizes data than does (say) Nash equilibrium or purely random behavior, without rigging the test in favor of one of these by calling it the null hypothesis. As Quantal Response Equilibrium is a non-linear model, I also discuss some issues with choosing appropriate priors. Namely, choosing a very flat prior for the choice precision parameter implies a prior on choice probabilities with too much mass near Nash equilibrium and/or random choice. I propose a prior calibration process which seeks to avoid this problem by targeting the implied prior distribution of equilibrium choice probabilities.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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