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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Journal of Accountin...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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Is There Crowd Wisdom in Accounting? Evidence From Forecasts in Equity-Based Crowdfunding

Authors: Koren M. Jo; Shuo Yang;

Is There Crowd Wisdom in Accounting? Evidence From Forecasts in Equity-Based Crowdfunding

Abstract

In this article, we study detailed financial forecasts provided by entrepreneurs who seek funds via equity-based crowdfunding on a leading U.K. platform. We investigate (a) what forecast signals investors react to, (b) whether investors can filter out the optimistic bias in forecasts, and (c) whether forecasts are predictive of a venture’s likelihood of survival. We provide strong evidence that entrepreneurs systematically overestimate sales, earnings, profit margin, and assets, and underestimate leverage. Despite the poor forecast quality, investors incorporate forecasted sales, subsequent equity and debt financing, and dividend payments in their investment decisions, but they do not react strongly to other signals. Some evidence suggests that investors are able to detect ex post optimistically biased forecasts among funded projects. However, none of the forecast signals investors react to can predict a higher likelihood of a venture’s survival. Overall, we find mixed evidence regarding crowd wisdom in accounting in the equity-based crowdfunding market.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Average
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