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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Australian & New Zea...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
zbMATH Open
Article . 2021
Data sources: zbMATH Open
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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ECM Algorithm for Estimating Vector ARMA Model with Variance Gamma Distribution and Possible Unbounded Density

ECM algorithm for estimating vector ARMA model with variance gamma distribution and possible unbounded density
Authors: Nitithumbundit, Thanakorn; Chan, Jennifer S. K.;

ECM Algorithm for Estimating Vector ARMA Model with Variance Gamma Distribution and Possible Unbounded Density

Abstract

SummaryThe simultaneous analysis of several financial time series is salient in portfolio setting and risk management. This paper proposes a novel alternating expectation conditional maximisation (AECM) algorithm to estimate the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model with variance gamma (VG) error distribution in the multivariate skewed setting. We explain why the VARMA‐VG model is suitable for high‐frequency returns (HFRs) because VG distribution provides thick tails to capture the high kurtosis in the data and unbounded central density further captures the majority of near‐zero HFRs. The distribution can also be expressed in normal‐mean‐variance mixtures to facilitate model implementation using the Bayesian or expectation maximisation (EM) approach. We adopt the EM approach to avoid the time‐consuming Markov chain Monto Carlo sampling and solve the unbounded density problem in the classical maximum likelihood estimation. We conduct extensive simulation studies to evaluate the accuracy of the proposed AECM estimator and apply the models to analyse the dependency between two HFR series from the time zones that only differ by one hour.

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Keywords

Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, vector ARMA model, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Estimation in multivariate analysis, Point estimation, high frequency returns, alternating ECM algorithm, persistence

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
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