Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao https://doi.org/10.1...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
DBLP
Conference object
Data sources: DBLP
versions View all 3 versions
addClaim

Machine Learning Instrument Variables for Causal Inference

Authors: Amandeep Singh; Kartik Hosanagar; Amit Gandhi;

Machine Learning Instrument Variables for Causal Inference

Abstract

Instrumental variables (IVs) are a commonly used technique for causal inference from observational data. However, in the recent years, the use of the IV method has come under much criticism across multiple disciplines (e.g. [1] and [6] in Economics; [3] in Marketing; [5], [4], and [2] in Finance). This is because, in practice, the variation induced by IVs can be limited, which yields imprecise or biased estimates of causal effects and renders the approach ineffective for policy decisions. In this paper, we confront these challenges by formulating the problem of constructing instrumental variables from candidate exogenous information as a (supervised) machine learning problem that is amenable to the learning approach. We extend the standard learning framework to develop an algorithm we term MLIV (machine-learned instrumental variables), which allows training of instruments and causal inference to be simultaneously performed from sample data. We provide formal asymptotic theory and show O(√n) consistency and asymptotic normality for machine-learned instrument variables. We illustrate the effectiveness of the MLIVs in empirical environments consisting of both linear and nonlinear model parameters. Simulations and application to real-world data demonstrate that the algorithm is highly effective and significantly improves the performance of causal inference from observational data. The complete version of this paper can be found at https://ssrn.com/abstract=3352957.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    13
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
13
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!