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Neural Network Embedding of the Over-Dispersed Poisson Reserving Model

Authors: Gabrielli, Andrea; Richman, Ronald; Wüthrich, Mario V.;

Neural Network Embedding of the Over-Dispersed Poisson Reserving Model

Abstract

The main idea of this paper is to embed a classical actuarial regression model into a neural network architecture. This nesting allows us to learn model structure beyond the classical actuarial regression model if we use as starting point of the neural network calibration exactly the classical actuarial model. Such models can be fitted efficiently which allows us to explore bootstrap methods for prediction uncertainty. As an explicit example we consider the cross-classified over-dispersed Poisson model for general insurance claims reserving. We demonstrate how this model can be improved by neural network features.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Statistics and Probability, Economics and Econometrics, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
51
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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