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Networks in Risk Spillovers: A Multivariate GARCH Perspective

Authors: Billio M.; Caporin M.; Frattarolo L.; Pelizzon L.;

Networks in Risk Spillovers: A Multivariate GARCH Perspective

Abstract

Abstract A spatiotemporal approach is proposed for modeling risk spillovers using time-varying proximity matrices based on observable financial networks and a new bilateral Multivariate GARCH specification is introduced. The covariance stationarity and identification of the model is studied, developing the quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator and analysing its consistency and asymptotic normality. Further, it is shown how to isolate risk channels and it is discussed how to compute target exposure in order to reduce the system variance. An empirical analysis on Euro-area sovereign credit default swap data indicates that Italy and Ireland are key players in spreading risk, France and Portugal are major risk receivers, and Spain’s non-trivial role as a risk middleman is uncovered.

Countries
Italy, Germany
Keywords

330, ddc:330, Financial spillover; Network; Risk spillover; Spatial GARCH, Network, spatial GARCH, Financial spillover, Spatial GARCH, Network, Risk spillover, Financial spillover, Risk spillover, network, C58, G10, Spatial GARCH, risk spillover, financial spillover, ddc: ddc:330

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    18
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
bronze