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Model Risk and Disappointment Aversion

Authors: Hasan A Fallahgoul; Loriano Mancini; Stoyan Veselinov Stoyanov;

Model Risk and Disappointment Aversion

Abstract

Extensions of expected utility theory are sensitive to the tail behavior of the portfolio return distribution and may not be approximated reliably through higher-order moment expansions. We develop a novel approach for model risk assessment based on a projection method and apply it to portfolio construction. We provide an extensive out-of-sample analysis to explore the economic gains of incorporating non-normality about financial asset returns into utility maximization with the generalized disappointment aversion (GDA) preferences. We find that the marginal utility gains of the optimal portfolio of a GDA investor are remarkably robust to misspecifications in the marginal distributions but are very sensitive to the structural assumption of stock returns implemented through a factor model.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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