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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2010 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2010
Data sources: EconStor
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Time Varying Hierarchical Archimedean Copulae

Authors: Wolfgang Karl Härdle; Ostap Okhrin; Yarema Okhrin;

Time Varying Hierarchical Archimedean Copulae

Abstract

There is increasing demand for models of time-varying and non-Gaussian dependencies for multivariate time-series. Available models suffer from the curse of dimensionality or restrictive assumptions on the parameters and the distribution. A promising class of models are the hierarchical Archimedean copulae (HAC) that allow for non-exchangeable and non-Gaussian dependency structures with a small number of parameters. In this paper we develop a novel adaptive estimation technique of the parameters and of the structure of HAC for time-series. The approach relies on a local change point detection procedure and a locally constant HAC approximation. Typical applications are in the financial area but also recently in the spatial analysis of weather parameters. We analyse the time varying dependency structure of stock indices and exchange rates. We find that for stock indices the copula parameter changes dynamically but the hierarchical structure is constant over time. Interestingly in our exchange rate example both structure and parameters vary dynamically.

Country
Germany
Keywords

Archimedean copula, ddc:330, Welt, 330 Wirtschaft, adaptive estimation, Statistische Verteilung, Schätztheorie, copula, multivariate distribution, Archimedean copula, adaptive estimation, Wechselkurs, C50, multivariate distribution, Kopula (Mathematik), C13, copula, C14, Zeitreihenanalyse, Aktienindex, Theorie, Schätzung, jel: jel:C50, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:C14

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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