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Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Validating Twin Deficit Hypotheses: The Zambian Case

Authors: Kenneth Mahuni;

Validating Twin Deficit Hypotheses: The Zambian Case

Abstract

The fundamental goal of the research was to verify if Twin Deficits Hypothesis holds for the economy of Zambia using Time Series data from 1980-2014. The current account and budget deficit were employed as key variables. The exchange rate was also used as a transmission mechanism to see how it contributes in the nexus. The empirical findings showed that there exist long run association between the current account deficit and the budget deficit after performing cointegration tests.Granger causality tests confirmed existence of twin deficits for Zambia. The results supported unidirectional reverse causality. The exchange rate was shown to be very significant in the long run than in the short run. The implosion of the time series as shown by the predicted cointegration equation implies that unless drastic measures to cure the deficits, using the current account as the major target variable, the twin deficits will persist for some time. The major policy implication of this research is that given Zambia as a primary Commodity Dependent Developing Country subsisting largely on copper revenues to sustain the economy, there is a need to move away from ‘copper addiction’ given volatility of earnings of primary commodities lately e.g. through diversification of the economy, import substitution among other strategies.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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