
arXiv: 1608.07158
handle: 10044/1/66489
We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and large-time behaviours of the implied volatility, and show that the proposed randomisation generates a short-maturity smile much steeper (`with explosion') than in the standard Heston model, thereby palliating the deficiency of classical stochastic volatility models in short time. We precisely quantify the speed of explosion of the smile for short maturities in terms of the right tail of the initial distribution, and in particular show that an explosion rate of~$t^��$ ($��\in[0,1/2]$) for the squared implied volatility--as observed on market data--can be obtained by a suitable choice of randomisation. The proofs are based on large deviations techniques and the theory of regular variations.
35 pages, 25 figures. Link with model uncertainty added, Some higher-order terms as well
Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications, Stochastic models in economics, Social Sciences, SMILE ASYMPTOTICS, STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY, large deviations, 510, FOS: Economics and business, Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.), IMPLIED VOLATILITY, JUMPS, Business & Economics, TERM STRUCTURE, 0102 Applied Mathematics, Business, Interdisciplinary Applications, stochastic volatility, Heston, LARGE DEVIATIONS, Science & Technology, asymptotic expansion, Numerical methods (including Monte Carlo methods), 60F10, 91G20, 91B70, Mathematical Methods, Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods, 91G20, Business, Finance, 91B70, Large deviations, Physical Sciences, Pricing of Securities (q-fin.PR), q-fin.PR, Quantitative Finance - Pricing of Securities, Finance, Mathematics, Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences, BEHAVIOR, implied volatility, 60F10
Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications, Stochastic models in economics, Social Sciences, SMILE ASYMPTOTICS, STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY, large deviations, 510, FOS: Economics and business, Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.), IMPLIED VOLATILITY, JUMPS, Business & Economics, TERM STRUCTURE, 0102 Applied Mathematics, Business, Interdisciplinary Applications, stochastic volatility, Heston, LARGE DEVIATIONS, Science & Technology, asymptotic expansion, Numerical methods (including Monte Carlo methods), 60F10, 91G20, 91B70, Mathematical Methods, Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods, 91G20, Business, Finance, 91B70, Large deviations, Physical Sciences, Pricing of Securities (q-fin.PR), q-fin.PR, Quantitative Finance - Pricing of Securities, Finance, Mathematics, Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences, BEHAVIOR, implied volatility, 60F10
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