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Journal of Financial Econometrics
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
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https://dx.doi.org/10.34989/sw...
Other literature type . 2015
Data sources: Datacite
EconStor
Research . 2015
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Downside Variance Risk Premium

Authors: Bruno Feunou; Cedric Okou; Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar;

Downside Variance Risk Premium

Abstract

We propose a new decomposition of the variance risk premium in terms of upside and downside variance risk premia. The difference between upside and downside variance risk premia is a measure of skewness risk premium. We establish that the downside variance risk premium is the main component of the variance risk premium, and that the skewness risk premium is a priced factor with significant prediction power for aggregate excess returns. Our empirical investigation highlights the positive and significant link between the downside variance risk premium and the equity premium, as well as a positive and significant relation between the skewness risk premium and the equity premium. Finally, we document the fact that the skewness risk premium fills the time gap between one quarter ahead predictability, delivered by the variance risk premium as a short term predictor of excess returns and traditional long term predictors such as price-dividend or price-earning ratios. Our results are supported by a simple equilibrium consumption-based asset pricing model.

Keywords

ddc:330, Downside variance risk premium; realized volatility; risk-neutral volatility; skewness risk premium; upside variance risk premium, G1, G12, Asset pricing, jel: jel:G12

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
103
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%
gold