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Eurasian Economic Review
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Proximity to Hubs of Expertise in Financial Analyst Forecast Accuracy

Authors: CAVEZZALI, Elisa; Crepaldi J.; RIGONI, Ugo;

Proximity to Hubs of Expertise in Financial Analyst Forecast Accuracy

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the geographical proximity of financial analysts to hubs of information and expertise can influence their forecasting accuracy. Recent studies show that the financial analyst forecasting process show a systematic difference in earnings forecast accuracy dependent on the geographical distance of analysts from the companies which they follow. The literature argues that local analysts issue more accurate forecasts because they have an informational advantage over analysts who are further away. Industrial centres can constitute important knowledge spillovers by creating formal and informal networks amongst firms and higher education and research institutions. In such a hub, information can easily flow and propagate. Our hypothesis is that physical proximity to these hubs, and not to the companies they follow, is an advantage for financial analysts, leading to the issue of more accurate forecasts. Using a sample of 205 observations related to 33 firms, across seven countries and ten sectors, our results are consistent with the hypothesis. Even though preliminary, and probably in part biased by sample selection issues, overall, the empirical evidence confirms the benefit of being part of a network, formal or informal, in which information, knowledge and expertise sharing can flow easily. We try to give some new evidence on what can cause variations in financial analyst accuracy by exploring these concepts, well known and analysed in other fields, but new in the context of financial analysts.

Country
Italy
Related Organizations
Keywords

forecast accuracy, sell-side analysts, geography, hubs of knowledge, Forecast accuracy; hubs of knowledge, jel: jel:M41, jel: jel:M40

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
bronze